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İKTİSADİ PREVİZYON


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Dictionary of Economics

İKTİSADİ PREVİZYON

(Dictionary of Economics) :
Ekonominin ilerideki muhtemel gelişme seyrini ve koşullarda belirecek değişiklikleri tahmin ve değerlendirme tekniği. Tüm bilimlerde öne sürülen bir teorinin doğruluğu ve yanlılığı teori ile önerilenin gerçekle uyumlu olması gereklidir. Deney yapmanın olanaklı olduğu bilimlerde (fizik, kimya gibi) önerilerin gerçekle uyumlu loup olmadığı deneyle mümkün olabilir. Oysa iktisat gibi toplumsal bilimlerde deney yapma olanağı olmadığı içcin teoriyi üretenler iktisadi previzyon yaparlar ve yaptıkları bu tahminler zamanı geldiğinde doğru çıkarsa teori gerçekle sınanmış ve o an için doğrulanmış demektir. Bu açıdan iktisadi previzyonun iktisatta önemli bir yeri vardır.
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